Jake Paul will meet Anthony Joshua in an eight-round sanctioned match with 10 oz. gloves on Friday at the Kaseya Center in Miami. This will be Joshua’s first fight since losing by knockout to Daniel Dubois for the IBF heavyweight championship on Sept. 21, 2024, which ended a four-bout winning streak for the Brit. Paul, meanwhile, is coming off a 10-round unanimous decision win over former WBC middleweight champion Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. this past June. The Netflix stream begins at 8 p.m. ET, with Paul vs. Joshua walkouts expected around 11 p.m. ET.
The latest Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua odds from FanDuel list Anthony as the -1000 favorite (risk $1,000 to win $100) to win, with Paul as a +1000 underdog (risk $100 to win $100). The over/under for total rounds is up from 2.5 to 3.5, with the Under favored at -140 and the Over at +106. The fight going the distance returns +310, while any kind of early stoppage is +460. Before making any Anthony Joshua vs. Jake Paul picks, make sure you see the boxing predictions and betting advice from SportsLine combat expert Josh Nagel.
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Nagel, who is the combat sports editor for SportsLine, is an experienced and successful boxing analyst who has covered the sport for multiple outlets for more than 20 years. Among his notable picks are calling Terence Crawford (+140) against Canelo Alvarez in their September mega fight, while also picking Crawford specifically by decision (+220). His other notable 2025 winners include calling Dimitry Bivol (+110) to pull the slight upset of Artur Beterbiev in their February rematch. In April, he correctly called Jarron Ennis to beat Eimantas Stanionis by KO (+155), while also correctly predicting the Under 10.5 rounds (+165). He also predicted Paul by decision (-110) against Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. in June. He kept his hot streak going by recommending Katie Taylor (+170) against Amanda Serrano in their trilogy showdown in July.
Anyone who has followed Nagel’s combat sports picks on boxing betting sites has already seen massive returns as they try to get the latest sportsbook promos for the fight and figure out the best boxing sportsbooks.
Now, with the Paul vs. Joshua fight card approaching, Nagel has studied the matchup from every angle and released confident prop picks for the fight. You can only see his top prop picks and analysis at SportsLine.
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Nagel has analyzed the Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua bout and one of his top prop picks is Joshua to win by TKO/KO at -360. Joshua has three knockout wins in his last four fights, including a second-round KO victory over Francis Ngannou in March 2024. Paul enters the fight with a five-inch height disadvantage, six-inch reach disadvantage, and he’s logged less than half as many rounds (70) in the ring as Joshua (167).
The 28-year-old YouTuber turned boxer is eight years younger than Joshua and weighs nearly 25 pounds lighter, even with a weight clause limiting Joshua to 245 pounds for the bout. Joshua has also posted a 28-4 career record, with 25 knockouts. Paul, meanwhile, is 12-1 and has seven knockouts, but has not faced the type of competition that Joshua has. See the rest of Nagel’s prop bets here.
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Nagel has also locked in multiple other props with value, including one that returns around +300. He’s only sharing his picks and analysis at SportsLine.
Who wins Anthony Joshua vs. Jake Paul on Friday, and which massive longshot prop should you target for a huge payday? Visit SportsLine now to see Josh Nagel’s best bets for the Friday, Dec. 19, heavyweight bout, all from the combat sports specialist who has covered the sport for more than 20 years, and find out.
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